Workshop on Probability, Confirmation and Fallacies

Program of the
Workshop on Probability, Confirmation and Fallacies
Leuven, Belgium, April 3 – 7, 2008

Thursday April 3:

Arrival at hotel New Damshire, Schapenstraat 1 (entrance in Pater Damiaanplein), 3000 Leuven

Friday April 4:

9:00 Pick-up at hotel New Damshire by Jeanne and David, walk to philosophy institute

9:30 – 11 David Atkinson
Confirmation, disconfirmation and probabilistic fallacies

11 – 12:30 Jonah Schupbach
Recent experiments on confirmation and the conjunction fallacy

13 – 15 LUNCH

15 – 16:15 Katya Tentori
The conjunction fallacy in perspective: evidence and theory

16:15 – 17 Theo Kuipers

A realist partner for Linda: a theoretical hypothesis can be more confirmed than its observational subhypothesis

18:15 Pick-up at hotel by Jeanne and David, walk to Faculty Club for (complimentary) workshop dinner

Saturday April 5

9:00 Pick-up at hotel New Damshire

9:30 – 11 Vincenzo Crupi
The diagnosticity of evidence and the pseudoevidence of
pseudodiagnosticity

11 – 12:30 Tomoji Shogenji
The degree of justification and the conjunction fallacy

13 – 15 LUNCH

15 – 16 Jeanne Peijnenburg
A case of confusing probability and confirmation

16 – 17 Jan-Willem Romeijn
A Condorcet jury theorem for unknown juror competence

Sunday April 6

9:00 Pick-up at hotel New Damshire

9:30 – 11 Roberto Festa
On the Matthew effect and other properties of Bayesian confirmation

11 – 12:30 Branden Fitelson
The Wason selection task and Bayesian confirmation theory

13 – 15 LUNCH

15 – 15:45 Igor Douven
Is evidence of evidence evidence?

15:45 – 17 Stephan Hartmann
Between unity and disunity: a Bayesian account of intertheoretic relations

Monday April 7: departure

All the lectures and discussions take place in Room N of the Higher Institute for Philosophy (Hoger Instituut voor Wijsbegeerte, HIW) of the University of Leuven, Kardinaal Mercierplein 2, Leuven. All the lunches are in the adjacent salons.